You know, it’s
taken a while for the big three Westminster parties to find some sort of
Kryptonite for the SNP, but like a dog with a bone they’re not letting go. Except that particular bone is nothing of the
sort.
The Kryptonite in
particular revolves around the proposals for Full Fiscal Autonomy, pro
Independence supporter’s nominated consolation prize and if I’m being honest
something I would have voted for over full Independence – had Cameron not
torpedoed the two question referendum.
Fiscal Autonomy
essentially involves the devolution of all tax raising powers to Holyrood. It would be the next logical step for
Scotland in terms of both further devolution and also as well in solving
Scottish issues with Scottish solutions. It would also, I would assume given the
position of the Scottish electorate & our parties, consolidate the move
away of Scottish politics from the obsession with the Anglo-American economic
model and cement the move towards the Scandinavian economic model and hopefully
help towards Scandinavian levels of quality of life. No bad thing.
So what’s the problem.
Well, the recent
release of last years GERS figures has got the… do we still call them
pro-Unionist… Westminster Three up in
arms as they show that there would be a deficit in the public finances. This
current financial year, the deficit is estimated to be £7.6 billion with it
projected to go up to £8 billion. Such
Mystic Meggery should not really be a concern to the SNP for two reasons.
Firstly, and more
obviously, we do not have Fiscal Autonomy as we stand at the moment. And there is currently no plan for it to
happen. That calculus may change come
the aftermath of the election, but in the meantime such political whataboutery
should really be dismissed without looking disdainful. Well…. except that Sturgeon looks somewhat
trapped back on her crease (to use cricketing terminology) whenever Murphy
brings it up. Instead, Sturgeon should
probably ask Murphy what would be in Labour’s 2018 budget… or something like that to show up the sheer
stupidity of trying to second guess a fiscal decision that is unlikely to
happen for another four years if at all.
The second reason
is that those figures are predicated on the assumption that the fiscal levers
will remain as they are at the moment.
They will not as the Tories have pledged to cut taxes while Labour are
campaigning on a tax raising ticket – the SNP have already said that they agree
with Labour’s 50% rate though there’s nothing on the 10% starter rate or the
scrapping of the rules regarding Non Domicile residents (or Non-Doms).
As I’ve said this
shouldn’t really trouble the SNP or the FM, but in the television appearances
that I’ve seen Sturgeon has been in a modicum of trouble over FFA. Today on Sunday Politics Scotland she didn’t
look as surefooted until the subject moved away from Fiscal Autonomy – though being
barracked by the three other party leaders would make anyone less than
surefooted.
This is entirely
about being seen to be the Anti-Austerity party in the eyes of the Scottish electorate. Labour cannot be seen as that, given Balls has
already signed up to Osborne’s scorched earth.
Their aim is then to paint the SNP as being less than truthful about
their aims. The problem with that is
that Sturgeon has developed a genuinely Keynsian roadmap away from austerity
with the below inflation spending increases – something Labour would have done
pre-Blair. So once again Sturgeon has an answer to those Labour attacks.
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