For all of the
moaning from certain pro-Unionist figures about the supposedly robust nature of
the post referendum climate here in Scotland, it was never as poisonous as the
current post EU referendum climate. The
successful court case brought by Gina Miller (below, with Nigel Farage) highlights, not just how much
uncharted constitutional territory we are in (and that this would have been
similar seas we would have sailed had the Independence referendum gone the
other way) but the lack of confidence the right wing Brexiteers have that their
own arguments and ideas will become political conventional wisdom.
As someone who
did vote to leave the EU, I can’t go along with this supposed groupthink that
states that the court case was a step towards parliament blocking
‘Brexit’. Anyone who believed the slogan
that Brexiteers started to trot out about the time of the ITV debate (you know,
the one where yours truly appeared on the news) about taking back control
should understand that this is not about supposedly blocking Brexit, but more
about defining parliamentary procedure.
Given the
patchwork quilt approach to the so called British constitution – ie there not
being such a thing as the British constitution – then is it really a surprise
that big grey areas, such as how do we actually evoke Article 50 of the Lisbon
Treaty, does wind up in the hands of lawyers.
Given this, then the other reason I’m not joining up with the pitchfork
and torches brigade on this issue is that the May/Conservative approach to
Brexit is not my vision of Brexit, and that whilst I don’t agree with the
parliamentary Remainers they will at least provide the required scrutiny of
May’s negotiations.
So far, the May
government have not given us any guidelines or an inkling of their red line
issues when it comes to the negotiations.
Any dropped hints have been firmly with the view of keeping Brexit
voters onside with the red meat of immigration coming up and limitations on
‘Freedom of movement’ being an issue.
The EU’s own comments have revolved around any access to the prized
“Single Market” being contingent on the retention of ‘Freedom of Movement’
which makes May’s negotiating position not look as strong as she would like. On top of her pro-Brexit ministers saying
different things, there is also the controversy of Single Market access being
kept for the City of London and not Scotland.
Personally, I’d not like us to be in the Single Market, as we would
still be within the sphere on influence of the European Union.
SNP ministers
have been up in arms at the proposal for Single Market access for the City, but
seem to have missed the why or the other proposal being asked for – special
passporting measures being brought in to ensure the retention of Freedom of
movement for people who work in the City of London. This is something being lobbied for by big
business backers of the Tory party.
If there is an
argument that May’s Government have failed to get a grip on the referendum issue,
those arguments will have grown after the meeting of the devolved governments
two weeks ago. When asked if she was
undermining the UK’s negotiation position, the First Minister simply replied
that she could not undermine something that was not there. Sturgeon’s other comments about coming away
with the meeting with as much knowledge of the UK’s position as she went in
with was a devastating blow to the UK’s cool studied image that they know what
they were doing.
The Westminster
Government have argued that they need to keep their negotiating position a
secret to help their position. Sajid
Javid made this point again during Thursday’s Question Time. That this secretive behaviour is itself the
sort of thing that people like me were pointing out that this is what the EU
does, seems to have bypassed Javid. I
rather suspect that Javid & Co would prefer the deal with the EU to be
conducted in secret and the presented as fait accompli once all the
negotiations have been completed. This,
again, flies in the face of taking back control and all that means. If memory serves, however, I don’t think that
secret negotiations have always been the way these deals were done. The last successful, Tory led, negotiation
with the EU would have been the Maastricht treaty in the early 1990’s. That’ll be the one where John Major publicly
outlined his red line issues, what he would be looking for in advance. And Major won UK exemption from the Social
Chapter and from instant entry to the single currency when the treaty was signed
in December 1991.
Of course, at
that point Major was still working with Thatcher’s 102 seat majority from 1987,
so Maastricht was still Major’s big success.
It was only after Major’s election victory, in April 1992, had resulted
in a slashed majority of 21 where things got difficult for Major.
The problem with
this debate is that the Left have, to all intents and purposes, left the field
open for the right to make the running and narrative – hence the anxiety from
pro-Brexiteers to ensure their ideas become conventional wisdom in the way
Osborne-omics did. It is also not helped
by the fact that the two big left wing opinion writers – Owen Jones and Paul
Mason – advocated holding your nose and voting to remain within the EU. If only there was a UK politician on the left
who was Eurosceptic and willing to make an alternative case for Brexit to the
Tories hard Brexiteers…
The
constitutional machinations, the arguments about immigration, the bitterness
between ‘Hard’ Brexiteers and so called ‘Remoaners’, the anxiety among
Brexiteers that they don’t have a grip on Brexit and the gentle unravelling of
the UK itself somehow misses the point. The vote in June was not about a trade
bloc but the UK’s membership of some deeply political institutions and entities
who’s sole aim is “ever closer union”.
These institutions have, pretty much since the aforementioned Maastricht
Treaty came into being, failed the people of Europe. The people at the heads of
these institutions are not being held accountable for these decisions, and
there is no mechanism to ensure accountability for these heads. The UK’s navel-gazing has become a
distraction from these issues about the EU.
I imagine that thanks to those distractions, in a restaurant in Brussels
are Shultz, Tusk and Junker, sitting around a table, breathing a sigh of relief
and thinking that they’ve got away with it.
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